Bitcoin Price Rollercoaster: Is ‘Uptober’ Already Here?

The article takes you through Bitcoin’s recent price swings, from a sharp rise to a dip. Take a closer look on the reasons behind it!

ChangeNOW.io
3 min readOct 4, 2024

Bitcoin has been on a bit of a rollercoaster recently, slipping back down to around $61,000 after briefly hitting the $66,000 mark. This drop has left many in the crypto scene scratching their heads, especially since it seemed like BTC was gearing up for a solid rally. Just when the excitement was building, prices took a downturn.

What’s Going On in the Market?

As Bitcoin dipped toward $61,000 at the start of October, it’s hard not to notice the similarities to previous cycles. This has sparked discussions about what these familiar patterns could mean for Bitcoin’s future. Ongoing geopolitical issues are definitely making waves, but there’s more to the story. The buzz around the new HBO film that’s set to reveal Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity has also piqued interest in Bitcoin, shaking things up in the market.

So, how is the market responding? Let’s check in with the Fear and Greed Index. Right now, Bitcoin is surrounded by a cloud of fear, a sentiment that’s stuck around for the past month. Investors are feeling a bit wary due to a mix of geopolitical concerns, potential regulatory changes, and general economic uncertainty. This ongoing anxiety has led to more volatility, keeping Bitcoin’s price hanging around the $60,000 mark.

F&G Index (4th of October). Picture Source: Alternative

This extended period of fear shows that traders are a bit hesitant, waiting for clearer signals before making big moves. However, some analysts think that this cautious atmosphere might actually set the stage for a rebound once market confidence starts to recover.

With Bitcoin trading near $61,000, there’s a hint of cautious optimism in the air. This recent price action might suggest we’re getting close to a point where the market could shift direction.

We’re now 160+ days past the last Bitcoin halving, which often signals the start of significant price movements. Historically, Bitcoin usually sees a surge 6–12 months after these halvings, so people are keeping a close eye on what’s coming next.

BTC price movements after Halving in 2020. Source: CoinMarketCap

According to a report from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin is currently about 100 days ahead of its typical four-year cycle. This raises hopes that we might see an all-time high sooner than expected — possibly between mid-May and mid-June 2025.

Even though the recent dip might feel a bit discouraging, the historical trends and strong support for Bitcoin suggest it still has the potential for a comeback. As we head into Uptober, a month known for Bitcoin rallies, the next few weeks could be crucial for both newcomers and seasoned crypto enthusiasts.

No matter how you feel about BTC, acting quickly is important — whether you’re looking to exchange, buy, or sell BTC, you can do it instantly with the best fees on ChangeNOW!

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